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Monday, October 09, 2006

The incompetence factor: Handicapping the 2008 presidential race

This article by Kevin Horrigan stresses that the next presidential race is going to focus on "competence" as the main factor voters will be looking for. Obviously, that bodes well for our man Romney.

There are governors and ex-governors: Republican Mitt Romney of Massachusetts and Democrats Bill Richardson of New Mexico, Tom Vilsack of Iowa and Mark Warner of Virginia.

There's an ex-mayor - Republican Rudy Giuliani of New York - and an ex-vice president: Democrat Al Gore of Tennessee.

No one with experience solely as a U.S. senator has been elected president since John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts in 1960. Senators don't manage anything. Americans prefer vice presidents or former vice presidents (Richard Nixon, George H.W. Bush) or governors or former governors (Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush).

If you add to that the new consideration of proven managerial competence, it narrows the Republican field to Romney, who built a management consulting firm and ran the Salt Lake City Olympics, and maybe Giuliani, who successfully - and, after 9/11, heroically, - managed New York City.

Requiring managerial competence narrows the Democratic field to Mark Warner, who made a fortune in the cell phone industry (he co-founded Nextel) before serving as Virginia's governor from 2002 to January of this year.

Take it to the bank: Unless I've risen to the level of my own incompetence, the 2008 presidential race will be between Mitt Romney and Mark Warner. Consider it Brownie's revenge.


I've thought that would be an interesting match-up. A Republican Governor from a blue state vs. a Democratic Governor from a Red State . . . both former CEOs and wildly successful businessmen.

Romney's got him on charisma and articulateness though, in my opinion.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

This is the main reason I think Mitt will win -- I think the majority of American voters and fed up with the incompetence of Congress and the public relations mess that is the Bush Administration -- there are a lot of people who are disenfranchised right now that are going to step up to the plate when they can find a competent 'Mr. Smith to go to Washington'.