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Thursday, January 03, 2008

What Happened In The Rest Of Iowa?

In my precinct, Romney won more than twice as many votes as Huckabee, who only had one more vote than Fred. What a surprise to come home and pull up drudge report and see that the rest of Iowa had gone strongly for Huck?

Well, you know how it is. Everyone gets a vote.

Clearly this is an evangelical phenomenon. Evangelicals turned out in uncharacteristically huge numbers and voted for Huckabee.

Just a couple of random thoughts.

First of all, kudos to Obama. I'm happy he won, so that New Hampshire Independents won't be artificially boosting McCain's numbers.

Take a look at http://www.iowagop.net/ and there's a map that shows the votes for each individual county. Up in the northwest of Iowa, Huckabee really pulled out huge victory. Those are the same counties that delivered the state to George W Bush back in 2004.

I think there is enough dis-satisfaction within other segments of the republican coalition with the Iowa process that we're going to see some efforts to take away its first in the nation status. What if Nevada were to pass a law saying that the republican primaries are on the same day as Iowa. It could happen.

Wyoming is SO going Romney's way.

New Hampshire voters, it's up to you. Remember 1996, when Bob Dole was running against Bill Clinton? Remember how he had no money? That's how it's going to be if McCain is the nominee. I like McCain and everything, nothing against McCain. He's talking about taking matching funds though, and all the potential democratic nominees have the ability to outspend him 10 to 1.

Michigan is going to be close. Come on Michigan!!!

South Carolina--- It's going to be a major battle. This is where we see if Huck means it about running a positive campaign. My bet - I don't see it happening. We're going to see a lot of the so far quiet under the table machinations from the Huckabee camp coming out into the open.

I look forward to seeing it.

1 comment:

Jeff...just stop. said...

Dude,

You've been shillin' this pro-Mitt, anti-everyone else bullshit for the last year.

Why don't you get real and realize your candidate got his ass handed to him? Seriously. Your credibility with this post is gone. GONE.

Later man