I've been watching and analyzing this race for two years now, reading and commenting nearly daily at forumns such as RedState, FreeRepublic, and Race42008. I've seen the slow dance of Fred's entrance, his surge in popularity and polls, and his steady decline. I've debated with FredHeads about both Fred and Mitt, their strengths and weaknesses. Interestingly, there has been a significant "warming" to Mitt among FredHeads and vice-a-versa over the last several weeks. Most Mitt supporters I know have Fred #2 on their list (me included . . . though it's a close call with Rudy because I like his executive experience).
Whether or not Fred officially drops out, it's clear that he does not have a realistic shot at becoming the nominee. His supporters will probably join other camps shortly.
Two online polls taken in the wake of last Saturday's results asked folks who they'd vote for in a "Fred-less" field.
Over at RedState (jokingly referred to as "FredState") this poll was asked . . . and here are the results as of now:
|Now that South Carolina is done, who will you vote for in your state?|
|2,133 votes total|
Over at HotAir.com (another very pro-Fred blog), the question was even more direct:
|For Fred Supporters: If Fred Thompson drops out of the race, which major candidate would you support?|
|4,795 votes total|
There is much speculation that Fred will endorse McCain, so HotAir's readership was asked if such an ensdorsement would effect their vote:
|If Fred Thompson endorses John McCain, what impact would that have on your vote?|
|Somewhat more likely to vote for McCain||205|
|Much more likely to vote for McCain||172|
|3,239 votes total|
Looks like FredHeads are the independent-minded voters that we'd expect of those supporting such a plain-spoken candidate.
For further evidence of FredHeads breaking for Mitt check out the comment section at HotAir (sorry, I didn't read all 1400 of them).
Some are even calling for a Romney/Fred ticket! I wouldn't have a problem with that personally. As Mitt supporters, we welcome any and all FredHeads into the fold.