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Tuesday, February 06, 2007

Romney polling better in early Primary States Iowa and N.H.

I still think it's WAY too early to read much into these polls (since they're still largely about name recognition at this point), but the Mitt-ster made significant strides among Iowans in the poll done this last week:

Polling Data

If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were being held today, for whom would you vote?


Feb. 2007

Dec. 2006

John McCain

27%

26%

Rudy Giuliani

22%

28%

Newt Gingrich

16%

18%

Mitt Romney

11%

6%

Chuck Hagel

5%

6%

Mike Huckabee

2%

1%

Sam Brownback

1%

1%

Tom Tancredo

1%

--

Undecided

15%

14%

These new Iowa Figures show a great trend, but the recent figures out of New Hampshire (where they share the Boston media marke and, therefore, know Romney a bit better) really are impressive:
Sample Dates: January 31 - February 1, 2007. Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (427 Republicans and 173 undeclared (independent) voters):

New Hampshire
Likely Republican Primary VotersDec 2006Jan 2007

Brownback-1%
Gilmore1%-
Giuliani25%20%
Gingrich14%11%
Hagel2%4%
Huckabee1%1%
Hunter--
McCain29%27%
Pataki2%-
Paul
-
Romney9%20%
Tancredo
1%
Thompson--
Undecided17%15%

However, recent polling in Michigan and in South Carolina have Romney still far behind

It is nonetheless undeniable that Romney has consistantly been the candidate picking up the most steam in all these polls. I've been following these cold-call polls for nearly a year . . . and I'm glad to see the days of Romney being 1-2% are long gone. He's building a strong team and he's getting his message out in the earliest states well. Look for this momentum to continue to build and for his polling to keep improving as well (though there may be a dip or two in the next few weeks as a normal "correction factor" following this big of a statistical bump.)

4 comments:

Big Jay said...

Good info on the polls. I'm glad to see that in some polls at least there was no dip in January. Keep up the good work Mitt. And Jeff.

Anonymous said...

Where can I find the Governor's schedule ..... when he comes to Iowa ....where , what time etc???

Anonymous said...

I went to the link and it has Romney at 11% not 20% as you have bolded in red.

Jeff Fuller said...

Anon 1:56

Thanks for the heads up. It looks like their initial figures were actually the NH figures . . . oops. But they updated their article with the correct numbers.