I still think it's WAY too early to read much into these polls (since they're still largely about name recognition at this point), but the Mitt-ster made significant strides among Iowans in the poll done this last week:
These new Iowa Figures show a great trend, but the recent figures out of New Hampshire (where they share the Boston media marke and, therefore, know Romney a bit better) really are impressive:
If the 2008 Republican presidential caucus were being held today, for whom would you vote?
Sample Dates: January 31 - February 1, 2007. Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (427 Republicans and 173 undeclared (independent) voters):
However, recent polling in Michigan and in South Carolina have Romney still far behind
New Hampshire Likely Republican Primary Voters Dec 2006 Jan 2007 Brownback - 1% Gilmore 1% - Giuliani 25% 20% Gingrich 14% 11% Hagel 2% 4% Huckabee 1% 1% Hunter - - McCain 29% 27% Pataki 2% - Paul - Romney 9% 20% Tancredo 1% Thompson - - Undecided 17% 15%
It is nonetheless undeniable that Romney has consistantly been the candidate picking up the most steam in all these polls. I've been following these cold-call polls for nearly a year . . . and I'm glad to see the days of Romney being 1-2% are long gone. He's building a strong team and he's getting his message out in the earliest states well. Look for this momentum to continue to build and for his polling to keep improving as well (though there may be a dip or two in the next few weeks as a normal "correction factor" following this big of a statistical bump.)